Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.174177 0.196455 0.219935 0.246474 0.275579 0.306472 0.341686
2025-05-11 0.146712 0.177128 0.210932 0.251095 0.297316 0.348639 0.409726
2025-05-18 0.128055 0.163984 0.205766 0.257533 0.319511 0.390877 0.478785
2025-05-25 0.109640 0.148348 0.195289 0.255704 0.330634 0.419712 0.532743
2025-06-01 0.095603 0.136116 0.187170 0.255170 0.342189 0.448571 0.587066
2025-06-08 0.083998 0.125487 0.179683 0.254183 0.352271 0.475228 0.638988
2025-06-15 0.076745 0.119728 0.177704 0.259646 0.370234 0.511880 0.704223
2025-06-22 0.068758 0.112003 0.172212 0.259650 0.380507 0.538524 0.757079
2025-06-29 0.061827 0.105010 0.166987 0.259338 0.389873 0.563837 0.808550
2025-07-06 0.055797 0.098695 0.162092 0.258902 0.398654 0.588257 0.859185
2025-07-13 0.051459 0.094518 0.159895 0.261979 0.412175 0.619231 0.919251
2025-07-20 0.048549 0.092302 0.160379 0.268832 0.431129 0.658052 0.990915
2025-07-27 0.044426 0.087812 0.157197 0.270219 0.442534 0.687213 1.050927
2025-08-03 0.041619 0.085266 0.156841 0.275802 0.460231 0.725737 1.125091
2025-08-10 0.039411 0.083535 0.157622 0.283091 0.480647 0.768672 1.206594
2025-08-17 0.035706 0.078717 0.152921 0.281300 0.487001 0.791181 1.259260
2025-08-24 0.032615 0.074700 0.149229 0.280824 0.495190 0.816434 1.316356
2025-08-31 0.029746 0.070794 0.145402 0.279812 0.502335 0.840150 1.371605
2025-09-07 0.028201 0.069335 0.145754 0.285753 0.520652 0.881078 1.453178
2025-09-14 0.025941 0.066172 0.142780 0.285774 0.529287 0.907348 1.513332
2025-09-21 0.023841 0.063108 0.139740 0.285447 0.537216 0.932598 1.572387
2025-09-28 0.021912 0.060195 0.136749 0.284980 0.544781 0.957348 1.631100
2025-10-05 0.020591 0.058483 0.135926 0.288311 0.558757 0.992434 1.706349